Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: PTC Pabianice zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 70,3 pkt (od 59 do 80 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: PSV ŁÓDŹ (64%), UKS Bzura Ozorków (63%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PTC Pabianice | 70,3 ± 5,3 | 59–80 | 93% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | GKS Ksawerów | 54,2 ± 6,2 | 41–65 | 2% | 60% | 0% |
| 3 | LKS Różyca | 53,5 ± 6,7 | 40–66 | 3% | 56% | 0% |
| 4 | TME Zawisza Rzgów | 49,8 ± 7,0 | 36–63 | 1% | 34% | 0% |
| 5 | Termy Poddębice | 48,8 ± 7,1 | 35–61 | 0% | 30% | 0% |
| 6 | Łódzka Akademia Futbolu | 43,4 ± 6,6 | 30–56 | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 7 | KAS KONSTANTYNÓW ŁÓDZKI | 40,9 ± 7,4 | 27–55 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 8 | TEOFILEK ŁÓDŹ | 40,5 ± 7,0 | 27–54 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 9 | Iskra Dobroń | 36,7 ± 6,7 | 24–50 | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| 10 | MKP Boruta II Zgierz | 32,6 ± 6,9 | 20–46 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 11 | Włókniarz Zgierz | 32,2 ± 6,8 | 19–46 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 12 | KS ROSA ROSANÓW | 26,6 ± 6,3 | 15–40 | 0% | 0% | 21% |
| 13 | AKS SMS II ŁÓDŹ | 23,1 ± 5,7 | 13–35 | 0% | 0% | 39% |
| 14 | UKS Bzura Ozorków | 19,7 ± 6,6 | 8–34 | 0% | 0% | 63% |
| 15 | PSV ŁÓDŹ | 19,9 ± 6,3 | 9–33 | 0% | 0% | 64% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 15 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTC Pabianice | 93% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS Ksawerów | – | 34% | 24% | 18% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Różyca | – | 28% | 26% | 18% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TME Zawisza Rzgów | – | 16% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Termy Poddębice | – | 12% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Łódzka Akademia Futbolu | – | – | 5% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 12% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KAS KONSTANTYNÓW ŁÓDZKI | – | – | – | 8% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – |
| TEOFILEK ŁÓDŹ | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| Iskra Dobroń | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – |
| MKP Boruta II Zgierz | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 19% | 13% | 8% | – | – |
| Włókniarz Zgierz | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 8% | – | – |
| KS ROSA ROSANÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 16% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 8% |
| AKS SMS II ŁÓDŹ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 17% | 26% | 24% | 15% |
| UKS Bzura Ozorków | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 18% | 25% | 38% |
| PSV ŁÓDŹ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 36% |