Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: LUBUSZANIN DREZDENKO zostaje liderem po jesieni w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 41,5 pkt (od 37 do 43 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LUBUSZANIN DREZDENKO | 41,5 ± 1,8 | 37–43 | 98% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | ORZEŁ MIĘDZYRZECZ | 35,8 ± 2,5 | 31–40 | 2% | 99% | 0% |
| 3 | WARTA SŁOŃSK BROWAR PAVCO | 31,9 ± 2,6 | 27–36 | 0% | 85% | 0% |
| 4 | STILON II GORZÓW | 27,4 ± 2,7 | 22–31 | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 5 | SOKÓŁ GOŚCIM | 25,5 ± 2,4 | 21–30 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 6 | SPARTAK DESZCZNO | 23,3 ± 2,5 | 20–29 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 7 | WARTA II GORZÓW WLKP. | 22,2 ± 2,8 | 17–27 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 8 | LZS BOBRÓWKO | 22,2 ± 3,0 | 17–27 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | URAN TRZEBICZ | 21,3 ± 2,6 | 16–25 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | MKS SPÓJNIA OŚNO LUBUSKIE | 21,7 ± 3,1 | 16–28 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | ZORZA KOWALÓW | 17,1 ± 2,8 | 12–23 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 12 | MKS CZARNI BROWAR WITNICA | 16,6 ± 2,2 | 14–21 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 13 | RADOWIAK DREZDENKO | 14,0 ± 2,7 | 10–20 | 0% | 0% | 36% |
| 14 | PIONIER ZWIERZYN | 12,5 ± 2,1 | 8–17 | 0% | 0% | 59% |
| 15 | TOROMA TORZYM | 5,6 ± 2,1 | 3–10 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | GKP KŁODAWA | 2,9 ± 1,9 | 1–7 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LUBUSZANIN DREZDENKO | 98% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ORZEŁ MIĘDZYRZECZ | – | 79% | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| WARTA SŁOŃSK BROWAR PAVCO | – | 19% | 66% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| STILON II GORZÓW | – | – | 11% | 53% | 17% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| SOKÓŁ GOŚCIM | – | – | – | 15% | 33% | 23% | 15% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| SPARTAK DESZCZNO | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 14% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| WARTA II GORZÓW WLKP. | – | – | – | – | 11% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LZS BOBRÓWKO | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| URAN TRZEBICZ | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS SPÓJNIA OŚNO LUBUSKIE | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – |
| ZORZA KOWALÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 29% | 26% | 14% | – | – | – |
| MKS CZARNI BROWAR WITNICA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 28% | 33% | 23% | – | – | – |
| RADOWIAK DREZDENKO | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 19% | 29% | 35% | – | – |
| PIONIER ZWIERZYN | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 28% | 55% | – | – |
| TOROMA TORZYM | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 68% | 28% |
| GKP KŁODAWA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | 72% |