Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: Michałowianka II Michałowice zostaje mistrzem w 5 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 71,8 pkt (od 58 do 82 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze Milenium Radziemice (33%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia 3) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michałowianka II Michałowice | 71,8 ± 6,0 | 58–82 | 53% | 93% | 0% |
| 2 | Milenium Radziemice | 69,2 ± 6,5 | 56–81 | 33% | 84% | 0% |
| 3 | Orzeł Iwanowice | 62,9 ± 6,6 | 49–75 | 7% | 54% | 0% |
| 4 | Czapla Czaple Małe | 61,8 ± 6,8 | 48–74 | 6% | 47% | 0% |
| 5 | Słomniczanka Słomniki | 56,0 ± 6,6 | 42–68 | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 6 | Niedźwiedź II | 48,8 ± 6,8 | 35–62 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 7 | Polanowice | 47,6 ± 7,4 | 32–61 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 8 | Novi Narama | 37,2 ± 7,7 | 22–52 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 9 | Sparta Skrzeszowice | 35,3 ± 7,3 | 22–50 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 10 | Strażak Goszcza | 35,1 ± 7,7 | 21–50 | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 11 | Cobra Wężerów | 32,4 ± 7,1 | 19–47 | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 12 | Trątnowianka Trątnowice | 31,8 ± 7,0 | 19–45 | 0% | 0% | 22% |
| 13 | Olimpia Czaple Wielkie | 30,4 ± 6,8 | 18–44 | 0% | 0% | 28% |
| 14 | Agricola Klimontów | 27,4 ± 7,2 | 14–42 | 0% | 0% | 45% |
| 15 | Lesisko Kraków | 25,8 ± 6,5 | 14–39 | 0% | 0% | 53% |
| 16 | Wierzbowianka Wierzbno | 13,5 ± 5,7 | 4–26 | 0% | 0% | 97% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michałowianka II Michałowice | 53% | 28% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Milenium Radziemice | 33% | 32% | 19% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Orzeł Iwanowice | 7% | 20% | 27% | 27% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Czapla Czaple Małe | 6% | 16% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Słomniczanka Słomniki | – | – | 12% | 21% | 34% | 16% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Niedźwiedź II | – | – | – | 6% | 14% | 30% | 25% | 13% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Polanowice | – | – | – | 5% | 14% | 26% | 25% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Novi Narama | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 10% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 5% | – | – |
| Sparta Skrzeszowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 6% | – | – |
| Strażak Goszcza | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | – | – |
| Cobra Wężerów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 9% | – |
| Trątnowianka Trątnowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | – |
| Olimpia Czaple Wielkie | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 12% | – |
| Agricola Klimontów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 5% |
| Lesisko Kraków | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 27% | 6% |
| Wierzbowianka Wierzbno | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 83% |