Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: Karpaty Siepraw zostaje mistrzem w 6 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 76,7 pkt (od 63 do 89 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze Hejnał Krzyszkowice (18%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia 3) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty Siepraw | 76,7 ± 6,8 | 63–89 | 58% | 88% | 0% |
| 2 | Hejnał Krzyszkowice | 69,7 ± 7,5 | 54–84 | 18% | 61% | 0% |
| 3 | Lubomir Wiśniowa | 66,3 ± 6,9 | 52–79 | 9% | 43% | 0% |
| 4 | Zielonka Wrząsowice | 63,9 ± 7,4 | 49–78 | 4% | 30% | 0% |
| 5 | Sęp Droginia | 62,9 ± 7,9 | 47–78 | 3% | 27% | 0% |
| 6 | Elektron Dobczyce | 61,9 ± 8,7 | 45–78 | 5% | 25% | 0% |
| 7 | Staw Polanka | 61,3 ± 7,2 | 46–75 | 2% | 18% | 0% |
| 8 | Iskra Głogoczów | 53,5 ± 8,0 | 37–69 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 9 | LKS Mogilany | 51,4 ± 7,9 | 36–66 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 10 | Jordan II Zakliczyn | 38,2 ± 7,7 | 24–54 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 11 | Rokita Kornatka | 36,1 ± 8,0 | 22–52 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 12 | Radwan Skomielna Czarna | 35,9 ± 8,1 | 21–52 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 13 | Sokół Borzęta | 34,8 ± 8,3 | 20–52 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 14 | Grodzisko Raciechowice | 24,7 ± 7,0 | 13–39 | 0% | 0% | 35% |
| 15 | Cyrhla Krzczonów | 18,9 ± 6,9 | 7–33 | 0% | 0% | 71% |
| 16 | Jawor Jawornik | 16,8 ± 6,3 | 6–30 | 0% | 0% | 82% |
| 17 | Iskra Brzączowice | 11,2 ± 5,8 | 2–24 | 0% | 0% | 95% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 17 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty Siepraw | 58% | 20% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Hejnał Krzyszkowice | 18% | 25% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Lubomir Wiśniowa | 9% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Zielonka Wrząsowice | – | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sęp Droginia | – | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Elektron Dobczyce | 5% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Staw Polanka | – | 7% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Iskra Głogoczów | – | – | – | – | 7% | 10% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Mogilany | – | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 14% | 21% | 26% | 13% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Jordan II Zakliczyn | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 14% | 6% | – | – | – |
| Rokita Kornatka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 16% | 23% | 19% | 17% | 9% | – | – | – |
| Radwan Skomielna Czarna | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 8% | – | – | – |
| Sokół Borzęta | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 16% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 10% | – | – | – |
| Grodzisko Raciechowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 18% | 32% | 23% | 10% | – |
| Cyrhla Krzczonów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 18% | 29% | 27% | 15% |
| Jawor Jawornik | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 26% | 38% | 19% |
| Iskra Brzączowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 23% | 63% |