Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: Mazovia II Mińsk Mazowiecki zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 79,6 pkt (od 70 do 85 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: Czarni Węgrów (99%), ŁDK Łosice (41%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazovia II Mińsk Mazowiecki | 79,6 ± 4,1 | 70–85 | 95% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Watra Mrozy | 67,0 ± 6,3 | 54–78 | 5% | 95% | 0% |
| 3 | Naprzód Skórzec | 54,0 ± 7,0 | 40–67 | 0% | 42% | 0% |
| 4 | Fenix Siennica | 49,0 ± 6,8 | 35–62 | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 5 | Victoria Kałuszyn | 47,9 ± 7,5 | 32–61 | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 6 | Zryw Sobolew | 47,1 ± 7,4 | 34–62 | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 7 | Orzeł Unin | 44,9 ± 7,9 | 30–60 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 8 | ULKS Gołąbek | 44,0 ± 7,6 | 29–59 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 9 | Wilga Miastków Kościelny | 43,0 ± 7,6 | 29–58 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 10 | Sęp Żelechów | 38,6 ± 7,5 | 25–53 | 0% | 2% | 4% |
| 11 | Podlasie II Sokołów Podlaski | 37,9 ± 7,4 | 24–53 | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| 12 | Jastrząb Żeliszew | 34,1 ± 6,6 | 22–48 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 13 | Płomień Dębe Wielkie | 30,6 ± 6,9 | 18–45 | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 14 | MKS Małkinia | 30,0 ± 6,9 | 18–44 | 0% | 0% | 22% |
| 15 | ŁDK Łosice | 26,7 ± 6,5 | 15–40 | 0% | 0% | 41% |
| 16 | Czarni Węgrów | 11,2 ± 5,2 | 2–22 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazovia II Mińsk Mazowiecki | 95% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Watra Mrozy | 5% | 81% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Naprzód Skórzec | – | 6% | 36% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Fenix Siennica | – | – | 14% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Victoria Kałuszyn | – | – | 12% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Zryw Sobolew | – | – | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Orzeł Unin | – | – | 8% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| ULKS Gołąbek | – | – | – | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Wilga Miastków Kościelny | – | – | – | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| Sęp Żelechów | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | – | – |
| Podlasie II Sokołów Podlaski | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 7% | – | – |
| Jastrząb Żeliszew | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 8% | – |
| Płomień Dębe Wielkie | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 19% | – |
| MKS Małkinia | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 21% | 21% | – |
| ŁDK Łosice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 14% | 23% | 37% | – |
| Czarni Węgrów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 93% |