Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: Sopocka AP zostaje mistrzem w 4 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 57,5 pkt (od 45 do 68 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze Pomorzanin Gdynia (29%), Sztorm Kosakowo (27%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: Barca Bolszewo (100%), Start Mrzezino (45%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sopocka AP | 57,5 ± 5,7 | 45–68 | 37% | 87% | 0% |
| 2 | Pomorzanin Gdynia | 56,8 ± 6,5 | 44–69 | 29% | 81% | 0% |
| 3 | Sztorm Kosakowo | 56,0 ± 6,0 | 44–67 | 27% | 82% | 0% |
| 4 | LZS Dragon Bojano | 48,8 ± 6,7 | 35–61 | 5% | 34% | 0% |
| 5 | Bałtyk II Gdynia | 41,0 ± 6,7 | 28–54 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 6 | Orlęta II Reda | 39,5 ± 7,0 | 26–53 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 7 | AP KP Gdynia | 38,6 ± 6,6 | 26–52 | 0% | 4% | 1% |
| 8 | Gryf II Wejherowo | 36,0 ± 6,7 | 24–49 | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| 9 | Stolem II Gniewino | 34,6 ± 6,9 | 21–48 | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| 10 | Orkan Rumia | 30,4 ± 6,2 | 19–43 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 11 | AP Cassubian | 28,8 ± 6,2 | 17–41 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 12 | Ogniwo Sopot | 25,4 ± 6,6 | 14–39 | 0% | 0% | 27% |
| 13 | Start Mrzezino | 22,7 ± 6,2 | 12–36 | 0% | 0% | 45% |
| 14 | Barca Bolszewo | 3,6 ± 3,1 | 0–11 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 14 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sopocka AP | 37% | 30% | 20% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Pomorzanin Gdynia | 29% | 28% | 23% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sztorm Kosakowo | 27% | 28% | 26% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LZS Dragon Bojano | 5% | 10% | 19% | 31% | 17% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Bałtyk II Gdynia | – | – | – | 12% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Orlęta II Reda | – | – | – | 8% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| AP KP Gdynia | – | – | – | 8% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – |
| Gryf II Wejherowo | – | – | – | – | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | – | – | – |
| Stolem II Gniewino | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 7% | – | – |
| Orkan Rumia | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 21% | 13% | 8% | – |
| AP Cassubian | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 12% | – |
| Ogniwo Sopot | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 17% | 27% | 27% | – |
| Start Mrzezino | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 13% | 24% | 45% | – |
| Barca Bolszewo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 99% |