Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: Pomezania Malbork zostaje liderem po jesieni w 8 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 38,2 pkt (od 31 do 45 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pomezania Malbork | 38,2 ± 3,7 | 31–45 | 84% | 98% | 0% |
| 2 | KP Gryf Tczew | 31,3 ± 3,3 | 25–38 | 8% | 67% | 0% |
| 3 | Kaszubia Kościerzyna | 30,1 ± 3,5 | 23–37 | 6% | 59% | 0% |
| 4 | Żuławy Nowy Dwór Gdański | 27,4 ± 3,4 | 21–33 | 0% | 23% | 0% |
| 5 | Wietcisa Skarszewy | 27,1 ± 4,0 | 19–35 | 2% | 25% | 0% |
| 6 | Styna Godziszewo | 27,0 ± 3,4 | 21–33 | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 7 | Pogoń Prabuty | 24,6 ± 3,6 | 18–31 | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 8 | Mady Ostaszewo | 21,1 ± 3,1 | 15–27 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | DSPN Supra Kwidzyn | 20,0 ± 3,8 | 13–28 | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| 10 | KS Skorzewo | 16,8 ± 3,5 | 11–24 | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 11 | Błękitni Stare Pole | 16,1 ± 3,6 | 9–23 | 0% | 0% | 19% |
| 12 | Centrum Pelplin | 16,1 ± 3,3 | 10–23 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 13 | Rodło Kwidzyn | 14,9 ± 3,6 | 9–23 | 0% | 0% | 30% |
| 14 | Relax Ryjewo | 13,9 ± 3,6 | 8–22 | 0% | 0% | 49% |
| 15 | Kolejarz Chojnice | 11,5 ± 3,4 | 5–18 | 0% | 0% | 68% |
| 16 | Victoria Kaliska | 5,1 ± 2,9 | 1–11 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pomezania Malbork | 84% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KP Gryf Tczew | 8% | 34% | 26% | 15% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Kaszubia Kościerzyna | 6% | 30% | 24% | 16% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Żuławy Nowy Dwór Gdański | – | 8% | 15% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Wietcisa Skarszewy | – | 9% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Styna Godziszewo | – | 7% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Pogoń Prabuty | – | – | 6% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Mady Ostaszewo | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 16% | 24% | 22% | 13% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – |
| DSPN Supra Kwidzyn | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| KS Skorzewo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 10% | – | – |
| Błękitni Stare Pole | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 6% | – |
| Centrum Pelplin | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 6% | – |
| Rodło Kwidzyn | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 13% | – |
| Relax Ryjewo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 24% | 23% | – |
| Kolejarz Chojnice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 15% | 20% | 39% | 9% |
| Victoria Kaliska | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 88% |