Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: GROM WITKÓW zostaje mistrzem w 7 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 75,6 pkt (od 62 do 86 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze UNIA JAROSZÓW (17%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: PODGÓRZE WAŁBRZYCH (89%), SUDETY DZIEĆMOROWICE (65%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GROM WITKÓW | 75,6 ± 5,9 | 62–86 | 71% | 97% | 0% |
| 2 | UNIA JAROSZÓW | 67,9 ± 6,9 | 53–80 | 17% | 80% | 0% |
| 3 | KS WALIM | 64,3 ± 7,1 | 49–77 | 9% | 62% | 0% |
| 4 | KP GÓRNIK II Wałbrzych | 58,8 ± 6,8 | 46–71 | 2% | 27% | 0% |
| 5 | SKALNIK CZARNY BÓR | 55,2 ± 7,5 | 41–69 | 1% | 16% | 0% |
| 6 | GWAREK WAŁBRZYCH | 52,3 ± 7,9 | 37–67 | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 7 | KS STANOWICE | 51,1 ± 7,5 | 36–65 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 8 | BŁĘKITNI SŁOTWINA | 45,6 ± 7,4 | 31–60 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 9 | VICTORIA ŚWIEBODZICE | 40,7 ± 7,3 | 27–55 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | AKS BAZALT II STRZEGOM | 34,1 ± 7,8 | 19–50 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 11 | CZARNI WAMAG WAŁBRZYCH | 33,9 ± 7,1 | 21–48 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 12 | KS SILESIA ŻARÓW | 33,0 ± 7,5 | 19–48 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 13 | NYSA KŁACZYNA | 27,0 ± 6,6 | 16–41 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 14 | ISKRA WITKÓW ŚLĄSKI | 20,8 ± 6,2 | 10–35 | 0% | 0% | 32% |
| 15 | SUDETY DZIEĆMOROWICE | 16,7 ± 6,0 | 7–29 | 0% | 0% | 65% |
| 16 | PODGÓRZE WAŁBRZYCH | 11,2 ± 5,3 | 3–23 | 0% | 0% | 89% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GROM WITKÓW | 71% | 20% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| UNIA JAROSZÓW | 17% | 40% | 22% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS WALIM | 9% | 23% | 30% | 19% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KP GÓRNIK II Wałbrzych | – | 7% | 18% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| SKALNIK CZARNY BÓR | – | – | 11% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GWAREK WAŁBRZYCH | – | – | 8% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS STANOWICE | – | – | – | 9% | 17% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BŁĘKITNI SŁOTWINA | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 17% | 24% | 17% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| VICTORIA ŚWIEBODZICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 17% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | – |
| AKS BAZALT II STRZEGOM | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 12% | – | – | – |
| CZARNI WAMAG WAŁBRZYCH | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 12% | 5% | – | – |
| KS SILESIA ŻARÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 6% | – | – |
| NYSA KŁACZYNA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 21% | 29% | 18% | 8% | – |
| ISKRA WITKÓW ŚLĄSKI | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 17% | 37% | 23% | 9% |
| SUDETY DZIEĆMOROWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 20% | 43% | 23% |
| PODGÓRZE WAŁBRZYCH | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 22% | 66% |