Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: LKS KRZYŻANOWICE zostaje mistrzem w 7 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 75,7 pkt (od 63 do 85 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze BÓR OBORNIKI ŚLĄSKIE (10%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: SPARTA WROCŁAW (100%), LOTNIK TWARDOGÓRA (81%), PLON GĄDKOWICE (78%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS KRZYŻANOWICE | 75,7 ± 5,7 | 63–85 | 72% | 97% | 0% |
| 2 | BÓR OBORNIKI ŚLĄSKIE | 65,7 ± 6,6 | 52–78 | 10% | 64% | 0% |
| 3 | BARYCZ MILICZ | 64,3 ± 7,5 | 49–78 | 8% | 56% | 0% |
| 4 | 1 KS ŚLĘZA II WROCŁAW | 64,0 ± 7,3 | 49–77 | 7% | 54% | 0% |
| 5 | MKP WRATISLAVIA | 58,0 ± 7,5 | 43–72 | 2% | 24% | 0% |
| 6 | VAMOS WROCŁAW | 48,7 ± 7,5 | 34–63 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 7 | PIAST III ŻMIGRÓD | 43,1 ± 7,3 | 29–57 | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| 8 | ORZEŁ PRUSICE | 42,1 ± 7,4 | 28–56 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 9 | DOLPASZ SKOKOWA | 41,0 ± 6,9 | 28–55 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 10 | WIWA GOSZCZ | 39,8 ± 7,2 | 27–54 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 11 | SPARTA WSZEMIRÓW | 36,3 ± 6,8 | 24–50 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 12 | GKS POLONIA II TRZEBNICA | 35,0 ± 7,4 | 21–50 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 13 | Pogoń CIESZKÓW | 30,8 ± 6,6 | 19–44 | 0% | 0% | 19% |
| 14 | PLON GĄDKOWICE | 21,6 ± 6,0 | 11–35 | 0% | 0% | 78% |
| 15 | LOTNIK TWARDOGÓRA | 21,2 ± 5,7 | 12–34 | 0% | 0% | 81% |
| 16 | SPARTA WROCŁAW | 0,9 ± 1,5 | 0–4 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS KRZYŻANOWICE | 72% | 19% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BÓR OBORNIKI ŚLĄSKIE | 10% | 28% | 26% | 22% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BARYCZ MILICZ | 8% | 24% | 23% | 22% | 14% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 1 KS ŚLĘZA II WROCŁAW | 7% | 21% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKP WRATISLAVIA | – | 7% | 15% | 21% | 31% | 13% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| VAMOS WROCŁAW | – | – | – | 5% | 14% | 29% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| PIAST III ŻMIGRÓD | – | – | – | – | 5% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| ORZEŁ PRUSICE | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| DOLPASZ SKOKOWA | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| WIWA GOSZCZ | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – |
| SPARTA WSZEMIRÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 13% | – | – | – |
| GKS POLONIA II TRZEBNICA | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 8% | – | – |
| Pogoń CIESZKÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 12% | 21% | 28% | 14% | 5% | – |
| PLON GĄDKOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14% | 34% | 44% | – |
| LOTNIK TWARDOGÓRA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 34% | 47% | – |
| SPARTA WROCŁAW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 100% |