Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: JAWORZANKA 1946 JAWOR zostaje mistrzem w 7 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 72,3 pkt (od 59 do 83 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze SPARTA GRĘBOCICE (17%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: POGOŃ GÓRA (96%), KONFEKS LEGNICA (77%), STAL CHOCIANÓW (67%), KS MĘCINKA (62%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAWORZANKA 1946 JAWOR | 72,3 ± 6,2 | 59–83 | 68% | 94% | 0% |
| 2 | SPARTA GRĘBOCICE | 63,7 ± 7,3 | 48–77 | 17% | 69% | 0% |
| 3 | ISKRA KOCHLICE | 59,7 ± 7,0 | 45–73 | 5% | 46% | 0% |
| 4 | SPARTA RUDNA | 59,3 ± 7,2 | 45–73 | 6% | 43% | 0% |
| 5 | GÓRNIK II POLKOWICE | 57,6 ± 7,4 | 42–71 | 4% | 34% | 0% |
| 6 | SOKÓŁ JERZMANOWA | 47,1 ± 8,0 | 32–62 | 0% | 6% | 1% |
| 7 | GWARDIA BIAŁOŁĘKA | 46,9 ± 7,9 | 32–62 | 0% | 4% | 1% |
| 8 | CHOJNOWIANKA CHOJNÓW | 45,7 ± 7,5 | 32–60 | 0% | 3% | 1% |
| 9 | UNIA SZKLARY GÓRNE | 37,9 ± 7,6 | 24–53 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 10 | UNIPLAN ENERGY ZRYW KŁĘBANOWICE | 35,9 ± 7,5 | 22–51 | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| 11 | WILKOWIANKA WILKÓW | 31,2 ± 7,5 | 18–47 | 0% | 0% | 34% |
| 12 | LZS KOMORNIKI | 30,8 ± 7,1 | 18–45 | 0% | 0% | 35% |
| 13 | KS MĘCINKA | 26,1 ± 7,0 | 14–42 | 0% | 0% | 62% |
| 14 | STAL CHOCIANÓW | 24,9 ± 7,0 | 12–39 | 0% | 0% | 67% |
| 15 | KONFEKS LEGNICA | 23,0 ± 6,9 | 11–38 | 0% | 0% | 77% |
| 16 | POGOŃ GÓRA | 17,1 ± 5,9 | 7–29 | 0% | 0% | 96% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAWORZANKA 1946 JAWOR | 68% | 18% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| SPARTA GRĘBOCICE | 17% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ISKRA KOCHLICE | – | 19% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| SPARTA RUDNA | 6% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GÓRNIK II POLKOWICE | – | 13% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| SOKÓŁ JERZMANOWA | – | – | – | 6% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GWARDIA BIAŁOŁĘKA | – | – | – | 6% | 12% | 19% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| CHOJNOWIANKA CHOJNÓW | – | – | – | – | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 11% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| UNIA SZKLARY GÓRNE | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – |
| UNIPLAN ENERGY ZRYW KŁĘBANOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 8% | – | – | – |
| WILKOWIANKA WILKÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 8% | – |
| LZS KOMORNIKI | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 7% | – |
| KS MĘCINKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 8% |
| STAL CHOCIANÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 18% | 13% |
| KONFEKS LEGNICA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 26% | 18% |
| POGOŃ GÓRA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 12% | 22% | 55% |