Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: Graf Chodywańce zostaje liderem po jesieni w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 41,8 pkt (od 36 do 45 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Graf Chodywańce | 41,8 ± 2,5 | 36–45 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Gryf Gmina Zamość | 31,4 ± 2,8 | 25–36 | 0% | 81% | 0% |
| 3 | Tanew Majdan Stary | 31,0 ± 2,6 | 26–35 | 0% | 71% | 0% |
| 4 | Pogoń 96 Łaszczówka | 27,3 ± 3,1 | 21–33 | 0% | 21% | 0% |
| 5 | Igros Krasnobród | 26,0 ± 3,2 | 20–32 | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 6 | Omega Stary Zamość | 25,4 ± 2,7 | 20–30 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 7 | Sokół Zwierzyniec | 25,6 ± 2,8 | 20–32 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 8 | BKS Bodaczów | 25,2 ± 2,6 | 20–31 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 9 | Kryształ Werbkowice | 19,5 ± 2,5 | 16–25 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | Korona Łaszczów | 17,1 ± 2,7 | 12–22 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 11 | Błękitni Obsza | 16,6 ± 3,0 | 11–22 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 12 | Andoria Mircze | 15,8 ± 2,6 | 12–21 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 13 | Sparta Łabunie | 12,3 ± 2,3 | 9–18 | 0% | 0% | 55% |
| 14 | Huragan Hrubieszów | 10,7 ± 3,0 | 5–17 | 0% | 0% | 64% |
| 15 | Olimpiakos Tarnogród | 10,4 ± 2,3 | 7–16 | 0% | 0% | 80% |
| 16 | Huczwa Tyszowce | 8,7 ± 2,9 | 4–15 | 0% | 0% | 89% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graf Chodywańce | 100% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Gryf Gmina Zamość | – | 53% | 27% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Tanew Majdan Stary | – | 36% | 35% | 16% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Pogoń 96 Łaszczówka | – | 6% | 15% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Igros Krasnobród | – | – | 9% | 19% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Omega Stary Zamość | – | – | 6% | 12% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sokół Zwierzyniec | – | – | – | 12% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BKS Bodaczów | – | – | – | 9% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 20% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Kryształ Werbkowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 34% | 27% | 16% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| Korona Łaszczów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20% | 24% | 26% | 17% | 6% | – | – | – |
| Błękitni Obsza | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15% | 24% | 21% | 19% | 10% | – | – | – |
| Andoria Mircze | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 16% | 25% | 31% | 16% | – | – | – |
| Sparta Łabunie | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 28% | 30% | 19% | 6% |
| Huragan Hrubieszów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 19% | 21% | 27% | 17% |
| Olimpiakos Tarnogród | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14% | 28% | 29% | 24% |
| Huczwa Tyszowce | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 23% | 54% |