Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: Graf Chodywańce zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 75,9 pkt (od 63 do 87 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: Huczwa Tyszowce (69%), Olimpiakos Tarnogród (60%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Graf Chodywańce | 75,9 ± 6,2 | 63–87 | 89% | 99% | 0% |
| 2 | Gryf Gmina Zamość | 62,3 ± 7,2 | 47–76 | 7% | 73% | 0% |
| 3 | Tanew Majdan Stary | 58,1 ± 6,9 | 45–71 | 2% | 49% | 0% |
| 4 | Sokół Zwierzyniec | 54,1 ± 7,3 | 39–68 | 1% | 25% | 0% |
| 5 | Pogoń 96 Łaszczówka | 52,2 ± 7,5 | 38–67 | 1% | 20% | 0% |
| 6 | Igros Krasnobród | 50,5 ± 7,7 | 35–65 | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 7 | Omega Stary Zamość | 49,3 ± 7,4 | 35–63 | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 8 | BKS Bodaczów | 48,2 ± 7,0 | 35–62 | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 9 | Korona Łaszczów | 37,4 ± 7,2 | 23–51 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 10 | Błękitni Obsza | 35,9 ± 7,4 | 22–51 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 11 | Kryształ Werbkowice | 35,3 ± 6,9 | 23–49 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 12 | Andoria Mircze | 31,8 ± 6,7 | 20–46 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 13 | Huragan Hrubieszów | 28,6 ± 7,2 | 15–43 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 14 | Sparta Łabunie | 23,9 ± 6,0 | 14–36 | 0% | 0% | 39% |
| 15 | Olimpiakos Tarnogród | 21,2 ± 6,0 | 11–34 | 0% | 0% | 60% |
| 16 | Huczwa Tyszowce | 19,4 ± 6,4 | 8–34 | 0% | 0% | 69% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graf Chodywańce | 89% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Gryf Gmina Zamość | 7% | 44% | 22% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Tanew Majdan Stary | – | 21% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sokół Zwierzyniec | – | 8% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 16% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Pogoń 96 Łaszczówka | – | 8% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Igros Krasnobród | – | – | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Omega Stary Zamość | – | – | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 13% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BKS Bodaczów | – | – | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 18% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Korona Łaszczów | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – |
| Błękitni Obsza | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 9% | 5% | – | – |
| Kryształ Werbkowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 5% | – | – |
| Andoria Mircze | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 14% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 11% | – | – |
| Huragan Hrubieszów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 6% |
| Sparta Łabunie | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 16% |
| Olimpiakos Tarnogród | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 11% | 18% | 29% | 31% |
| Huczwa Tyszowce | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 15% | 25% | 44% |