Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: MLKS Józefovia zostaje liderem po jesieni w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 40,6 pkt (od 35 do 43 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLKS Józefovia | 40,6 ± 2,4 | 35–43 | 99% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | GKS Wilga Garwolin | 29,9 ± 2,7 | 25–34 | 0% | 80% | 0% |
| 3 | AP ŻYRARDOWIANKA | 29,7 ± 2,9 | 24–36 | 1% | 72% | 0% |
| 4 | RKS Ursus II W-wa | 26,7 ± 3,0 | 21–33 | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 5 | KS Powiślanka Lipsko | 24,5 ± 2,8 | 19–31 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 6 | MKS Pilica Białobrzegi | 24,3 ± 3,2 | 19–31 | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 7 | RADOMIAK II RADOM | 23,4 ± 3,0 | 17–30 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 8 | GKS Drogowiec Jedlińsk | 21,9 ± 2,9 | 16–28 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 9 | STF CHAMPION | 20,3 ± 2,5 | 15–24 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 10 | GKS TYGRYS HUTA MIŃSKA | 19,4 ± 2,7 | 14–25 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 11 | GKS Jodła Jedlnia-Let. | 18,3 ± 3,0 | 13–24 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 12 | KPS Food KS Proch Pionki | 15,1 ± 2,6 | 11–21 | 0% | 0% | 23% |
| 13 | LKS WEKTRA ZBUCZYN | 14,4 ± 2,6 | 10–20 | 0% | 0% | 30% |
| 14 | LKS Chlebnia | 12,8 ± 2,6 | 9–18 | 0% | 0% | 65% |
| 15 | MKP Pogoń II Siedlce | 11,9 ± 2,6 | 8–18 | 0% | 0% | 79% |
| 16 | LKS Perła Złotokłos | 10,4 ± 2,2 | 8–15 | 0% | 0% | 92% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLKS Józefovia | 99% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS Wilga Garwolin | – | 46% | 34% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| AP ŻYRARDOWIANKA | – | 38% | 33% | 16% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| RKS Ursus II W-wa | – | 9% | 16% | 27% | 19% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Powiślanka Lipsko | – | – | 6% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS Pilica Białobrzegi | – | – | 6% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| RADOMIAK II RADOM | – | – | – | 11% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS Drogowiec Jedlińsk | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| STF CHAMPION | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 14% | 16% | 21% | 18% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS TYGRYS HUTA MIŃSKA | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| GKS Jodła Jedlnia-Let. | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 11% | 17% | 24% | 15% | 8% | – | – | – |
| KPS Food KS Proch Pionki | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 13% | 25% | 27% | 16% | 6% | – |
| LKS WEKTRA ZBUCZYN | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 11% | 24% | 26% | 17% | 10% | – |
| LKS Chlebnia | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 17% | 25% | 25% | 14% |
| MKP Pogoń II Siedlce | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 22% | 30% | 28% |
| LKS Perła Złotokłos | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 26% | 54% |