Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: KS UNIA KOLONOWSKIE zostaje mistrzem w 8 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 74,3 pkt (od 61 do 84 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: KS IPRIME BOGACICA (100%), LZS ŻYTNIÓW (90%), LKS MKS POLONIA LIGOTA WOŁCZYŃSKA (76%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KS UNIA KOLONOWSKIE | 74,3 ± 6,0 | 61–84 | 84% | 97% | 0% |
| 2 | NKS START II NAMYSŁÓW | 59,9 ± 7,0 | 46–74 | 5% | 45% | 0% |
| 3 | OKS II OLESNO | 59,4 ± 7,1 | 45–72 | 4% | 45% | 0% |
| 4 | KS II KRASIEJÓW | 58,1 ± 7,0 | 45–71 | 3% | 36% | 0% |
| 5 | LKS NAPRZÓD JEMIELNICA | 56,4 ± 7,1 | 42–70 | 2% | 26% | 0% |
| 6 | LKS SOKOŁY BIERDZANY | 56,2 ± 7,5 | 42–71 | 1% | 28% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS BUDOWLANI STROJEC | 54,4 ± 7,1 | 40–67 | 1% | 19% | 0% |
| 8 | KS START DOBRODZIEŃ | 45,1 ± 7,2 | 31–59 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 9 | LZS II STAROŚCIN-MIEJSCE | 44,3 ± 7,5 | 30–59 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 10 | LMKS PIAST GORZÓW ŚLĄSKI | 39,5 ± 7,9 | 25–55 | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| 11 | LZS USZYCE | 33,7 ± 7,0 | 21–48 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 12 | LZS POLANOWICE | 33,4 ± 7,0 | 21–48 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 13 | LZS CHOCIANOWICE | 32,9 ± 7,5 | 19–48 | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 14 | LKS MKS POLONIA LIGOTA WOŁCZYŃSKA | 21,8 ± 5,9 | 12–35 | 0% | 0% | 76% |
| 15 | LZS ŻYTNIÓW | 16,7 ± 5,9 | 7–29 | 0% | 0% | 90% |
| 16 | KS IPRIME BOGACICA | 2,9 ± 2,8 | 0–10 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KS UNIA KOLONOWSKIE | 84% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| NKS START II NAMYSŁÓW | 5% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| OKS II OLESNO | – | 22% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS II KRASIEJÓW | – | 16% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS NAPRZÓD JEMIELNICA | – | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS SOKOŁY BIERDZANY | – | 11% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS BUDOWLANI STROJEC | – | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS START DOBRODZIEŃ | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 14% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LZS II STAROŚCIN-MIEJSCE | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – | – |
| LMKS PIAST GORZÓW ŚLĄSKI | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 15% | 8% | – | – | – |
| LZS USZYCE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 23% | 7% | – | – |
| LZS POLANOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 8% | – | – |
| LZS CHOCIANOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 11% | – | – |
| LKS MKS POLONIA LIGOTA WOŁCZYŃSKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 15% | 48% | 28% | – |
| LZS ŻYTNIÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 24% | 65% | – |
| KS IPRIME BOGACICA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 99% |