Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: KKS Karpaty Krosno Sp. z o.o. zostaje mistrzem w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 78,4 pkt (od 69 do 84 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: LUKS BESKID POSADA GÓRNA (59%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnie miejsce) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KKS Karpaty Krosno Sp. z o.o. | 78,4 ± 4,2 | 69–84 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Klimkówka Karpaty | 52,0 ± 7,6 | 37–66 | 0% | 58% | 0% |
| 3 | LKS Górki | 48,1 ± 6,7 | 35–61 | 0% | 36% | 0% |
| 4 | Wzdów | 47,9 ± 7,0 | 34–61 | 0% | 35% | 0% |
| 5 | LUKS Burza Rogi | 47,4 ± 7,3 | 33–62 | 0% | 34% | 0% |
| 6 | Haczów | 42,2 ± 7,7 | 27–56 | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 7 | Zręcin Tęcza | 41,6 ± 7,6 | 27–57 | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 8 | LKS Płomień Zmiennica | 39,6 ± 6,6 | 28–53 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 9 | Korczyna Kotwica | 37,5 ± 7,5 | 23–52 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 10 | Głowienka | 30,7 ± 7,3 | 18–45 | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| 11 | Lubatowa | 30,9 ± 6,6 | 19–45 | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| 12 | Domaradz Sokół | 29,3 ± 7,4 | 16–44 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 13 | Iskra Przysietnica | 28,9 ± 6,7 | 16–43 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 14 | Lubatówka | 25,2 ± 6,6 | 13–38 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 15 | LUKS BESKID POSADA GÓRNA | 18,5 ± 6,4 | 7–32 | 0% | 0% | 59% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 15 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KKS Karpaty Krosno Sp. z o.o. | 100% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Klimkówka Karpaty | – | 38% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Górki | – | 17% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Wzdów | – | 15% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LUKS Burza Rogi | – | 17% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Haczów | – | – | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Zręcin Tęcza | – | – | 7% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Płomień Zmiennica | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – |
| Korczyna Kotwica | – | – | – | – | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | – | – | – |
| Głowienka | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | – |
| Lubatowa | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 9% | – |
| Domaradz Sokół | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 8% |
| Iskra Przysietnica | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 6% |
| Lubatówka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 18% |
| LUKS BESKID POSADA GÓRNA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 20% | 59% |