Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: KS Wasilków zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 79,0 pkt (od 69 do 87 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: KS Śniadowo (100%), UKS KRYPNIANKA Krypno (91%), SKS POMORZANKA Sejny (65%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KS Wasilków | 79,0 ± 4,5 | 69–87 | 90% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | KS WARMIA Grajewo | 67,1 ± 5,8 | 55–77 | 6% | 88% | 0% |
| 3 | ŁKS II Łomża | 64,8 ± 5,9 | 52–75 | 4% | 81% | 0% |
| 4 | BKS TUR Bielsk Podlaski | 53,9 ± 6,6 | 40–67 | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 5 | UKS PIONIER Brańsk | 50,5 ± 6,5 | 38–63 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 6 | MKS RUCH Wysokie Mazowieckie | 49,5 ± 6,7 | 36–63 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 7 | LUKS CZARNI Czarna Białostocka | 48,3 ± 6,6 | 36–61 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 8 | MLKS WISSA Szczuczyn | 47,8 ± 6,6 | 35–61 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 9 | LKS PROMIEŃ Mońki | 47,5 ± 6,7 | 34–61 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 10 | KS HETMAN SKŁODOWSCY Tykocin | 44,9 ± 6,8 | 32–58 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 11 | KS Michałowo | 40,8 ± 7,0 | 27–54 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | MKS SUPRAŚLANKA Supraśl | 32,8 ± 6,6 | 21–47 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 13 | PW HOME LZS Krynki | 22,2 ± 5,5 | 13–34 | 0% | 0% | 42% |
| 14 | SKS POMORZANKA Sejny | 19,9 ± 5,1 | 11–30 | 0% | 0% | 65% |
| 15 | UKS KRYPNIANKA Krypno | 14,0 ± 4,6 | 6–24 | 0% | 0% | 91% |
| 16 | KS Śniadowo | 6,8 ± 3,7 | 1–15 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KS Wasilków | 90% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS WARMIA Grajewo | 6% | 52% | 30% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ŁKS II Łomża | – | 33% | 44% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BKS TUR Bielsk Podlaski | – | – | 10% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| UKS PIONIER Brańsk | – | – | – | 16% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS RUCH Wysokie Mazowieckie | – | – | – | 12% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LUKS CZARNI Czarna Białostocka | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – |
| MLKS WISSA Szczuczyn | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS PROMIEŃ Mońki | – | – | – | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS HETMAN SKŁODOWSCY Tykocin | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 7% | – | – | – | – |
| KS Michałowo | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 28% | 16% | – | – | – | – |
| MKS SUPRAŚLANKA Supraśl | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 17% | 51% | 13% | – | – | – |
| PW HOME LZS Krynki | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 46% | 30% | 11% | – |
| SKS POMORZANKA Sejny | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 29% | 44% | 18% | – |
| UKS KRYPNIANKA Krypno | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 22% | 57% | 12% |
| KS Śniadowo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | 84% |