Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: LKS 07 MARKOWICE zostaje mistrzem w 8 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 72,7 pkt (od 60 do 84 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: LKS CYPRZANÓW (87%), LKS NAPRZÓD 46 ZAWADA (38%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS 07 MARKOWICE | 72,7 ± 6,1 | 60–84 | 82% | 98% | 0% |
| 2 | TS GÓRNIK PSZÓW | 61,5 ± 7,0 | 47–74 | 9% | 67% | 0% |
| 3 | LKS ZWONOWICE | 55,5 ± 7,9 | 40–71 | 3% | 34% | 0% |
| 4 | LKS ZGODA ZAWADA KSIĄŻĘCA | 53,4 ± 7,6 | 38–67 | 2% | 25% | 0% |
| 5 | MKS UNIA II RACIBÓRZ | 53,0 ± 8,1 | 37–68 | 2% | 24% | 0% |
| 6 | LKS RUDA KOZIELSKA | 52,4 ± 7,5 | 37–67 | 2% | 20% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS OCICE RACIBÓRZ | 51,3 ± 7,8 | 35–66 | 1% | 16% | 0% |
| 8 | LKS PAWŁÓW | 48,4 ± 8,3 | 32–65 | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 9 | LKS WOJNOWICE | 46,4 ± 8,0 | 31–62 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 10 | KS STAL KUŹNIA RACIBORSKA | 37,2 ± 8,1 | 22–54 | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| 11 | LKS PŁOMIEŃ KOBYLA | 31,9 ± 8,0 | 17–48 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 12 | KS KORNOWAC | 27,9 ± 7,4 | 14–43 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 13 | KS PRZYSZŁOŚĆ II ROGÓW | 26,4 ± 7,0 | 14–41 | 0% | 0% | 22% |
| 14 | LKS ZABEŁKÓW | 26,2 ± 7,6 | 13–42 | 0% | 0% | 26% |
| 15 | LKS NAPRZÓD 46 ZAWADA | 23,1 ± 6,5 | 12–37 | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| 16 | LKS CYPRZANÓW | 14,0 ± 5,9 | 4–27 | 0% | 0% | 87% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS 07 MARKOWICE | 82% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TS GÓRNIK PSZÓW | 9% | 36% | 21% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS ZWONOWICE | – | 14% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS ZGODA ZAWADA KSIĄŻĘCA | – | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS UNIA II RACIBÓRZ | – | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS RUDA KOZIELSKA | – | 6% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS OCICE RACIBÓRZ | – | 6% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS PAWŁÓW | – | – | 6% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS WOJNOWICE | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS STAL KUŹNIA RACIBORSKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 14% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – |
| LKS PŁOMIEŃ KOBYLA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | – |
| KS KORNOWAC | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 13% | – |
| KS PRZYSZŁOŚĆ II ROGÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 21% | 17% | – |
| LKS ZABEŁKÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 7% |
| LKS NAPRZÓD 46 ZAWADA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 27% | 11% |
| LKS CYPRZANÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 17% | 71% |