Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: LKS UNIA TURZA ŚLĄSKA zostaje liderem po jesieni w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 41,8 pkt (od 36 do 46 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS UNIA TURZA ŚLĄSKA | 41,8 ± 2,6 | 36–46 | 96% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | TS PODBESKIDZIE BIELSKO-BIAŁA II | 33,4 ± 3,1 | 27–39 | 2% | 62% | 0% |
| 3 | KS RUCH RADZIONKÓW | 33,5 ± 2,6 | 28–39 | 1% | 54% | 0% |
| 4 | RUCH CHORZÓW II | 32,0 ± 2,1 | 28–36 | 0% | 31% | 0% |
| 5 | MRKS CZECHOWICE-DZIEDZICE | 32,3 ± 3,0 | 27–38 | 1% | 34% | 0% |
| 6 | GKS GIEKSA KATOWICE II | 30,4 ± 2,4 | 26–35 | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS PRZEMSZA SIEWIERZ | 27,3 ± 2,6 | 22–32 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 8 | SPÓJNIA LANDEK-JASIENICA | 27,6 ± 2,7 | 23–34 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 9 | KS POLONIA ŁAZISKA GÓRNE | 26,0 ± 2,6 | 21–32 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 10 | LKS DRAMA ZBROSŁAWICE | 23,1 ± 2,6 | 18–28 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | GKS SZOMBIERKI BYTOM | 22,2 ± 2,8 | 17–28 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | KS DECOR BEŁK | 20,7 ± 2,5 | 16–26 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 13 | KS KUŹNIA USTROŃ | 18,9 ± 2,6 | 14–24 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 14 | LGKS 38 PODLESIANKA KATOWICE | 16,3 ± 2,3 | 13–22 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 15 | GKS PIAST GLIWICE II | 15,6 ± 2,5 | 11–20 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 16 | TS GWAREK TARNOWSKIE GÓRY | 13,6 ± 2,6 | 8–19 | 0% | 0% | 60% |
| 17 | KS ROZWÓJ KATOWICE | 10,9 ± 2,6 | 7–17 | 0% | 0% | 91% |
| 18 | VICTORIA KOSMOS M-BET CZĘSTOCHOWA | 1,1 ± 1,5 | 0–5 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 18 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS UNIA TURZA ŚLĄSKA | 96% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TS PODBESKIDZIE BIELSKO-BIAŁA II | – | 37% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS RUCH RADZIONKÓW | – | 26% | 27% | 17% | 12% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| RUCH CHORZÓW II | – | 10% | 21% | 26% | 22% | 13% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MRKS CZECHOWICE-DZIEDZICE | – | 19% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS GIEKSA KATOWICE II | – | – | 9% | 18% | 20% | 23% | 14% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS PRZEMSZA SIEWIERZ | – | – | – | – | 8% | 11% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| SPÓJNIA LANDEK-JASIENICA | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS POLONIA ŁAZISKA GÓRNE | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 15% | 23% | 24% | 16% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS DRAMA ZBROSŁAWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 16% | 26% | 25% | 12% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS SZOMBIERKI BYTOM | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 14% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS DECOR BEŁK | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | 23% | 29% | 20% | 7% | – | – | – | – |
| KS KUŹNIA USTROŃ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 11% | 20% | 30% | 17% | 10% | 5% | – | – |
| LGKS 38 PODLESIANKA KATOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 13% | 30% | 31% | 17% | – | – |
| GKS PIAST GLIWICE II | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 25% | 29% | 22% | – | – |
| TS GWAREK TARNOWSKIE GÓRY | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | 21% | 40% | 21% | – |
| KS ROZWÓJ KATOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 16% | 75% | – |
| VICTORIA KOSMOS M-BET CZĘSTOCHOWA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 100% |