Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: MKS GÓRNIK WOJKOWICE zostaje mistrzem w 6 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 66,5 pkt (od 53 do 79 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: GKS URANIA RUDA ŚLĄSKA (99%), KS GÓRNIK SOSNOWIEC (74%), GKS WAWEL WIREK (39%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MKS GÓRNIK WOJKOWICE | 66,5 ± 6,9 | 53–79 | 59% | 86% | 0% |
| 2 | GKS GIEKSA III KATOWICE S.A. | 57,2 ± 7,4 | 42–70 | 10% | 45% | 0% |
| 3 | MKS SIEMIANOWICZANKA | 56,2 ± 7,0 | 42–69 | 7% | 38% | 0% |
| 4 | KP WARTA ZAWIERCIE | 56,0 ± 7,2 | 41–69 | 8% | 39% | 0% |
| 5 | UKS PRZEMSZA DĄBROWA GÓRNICZA | 55,6 ± 7,1 | 42–69 | 7% | 33% | 0% |
| 6 | KS NIWY BRUDZOWICE | 54,5 ± 7,0 | 41–68 | 5% | 29% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS OSTOJA ŻELISŁAWICE | 52,4 ± 7,1 | 39–66 | 4% | 20% | 0% |
| 8 | KS STADION ŚLĄSKI CHORZÓW | 45,7 ± 7,5 | 31–61 | 1% | 5% | 1% |
| 9 | LKS UNIA KOSZTOWY | 42,1 ± 7,4 | 28–56 | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| 10 | KS UNIA ZĄBKOWICE | 40,5 ± 7,6 | 26–56 | 0% | 2% | 4% |
| 11 | TP JASTRZĄB BIELSZOWICE | 33,3 ± 7,0 | 21–47 | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 12 | LKS POGOŃ IMIELIN | 31,5 ± 6,7 | 20–45 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 13 | KS CYKLON ROGOŹNIK | 29,7 ± 6,6 | 17–43 | 0% | 0% | 35% |
| 14 | GKS WAWEL WIREK | 29,1 ± 6,7 | 17–43 | 0% | 0% | 39% |
| 15 | KS GÓRNIK SOSNOWIEC | 23,2 ± 6,4 | 12–37 | 0% | 0% | 74% |
| 16 | GKS URANIA RUDA ŚLĄSKA | 11,1 ± 5,4 | 2–23 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MKS GÓRNIK WOJKOWICE | 59% | 18% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS GIEKSA III KATOWICE S.A. | 10% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS SIEMIANOWICZANKA | 7% | 17% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KP WARTA ZAWIERCIE | 8% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| UKS PRZEMSZA DĄBROWA GÓRNICZA | 7% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS NIWY BRUDZOWICE | – | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS OSTOJA ŻELISŁAWICE | – | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS STADION ŚLĄSKI CHORZÓW | – | – | – | – | 7% | 8% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS UNIA KOSZTOWY | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| KS UNIA ZĄBKOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – |
| TP JASTRZĄB BIELSZOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 7% | – |
| LKS POGOŃ IMIELIN | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 11% | 14% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 9% | – |
| KS CYKLON ROGOŹNIK | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 13% | – |
| GKS WAWEL WIREK | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 17% | – |
| KS GÓRNIK SOSNOWIEC | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 22% | 43% | 9% |
| GKS URANIA RUDA ŚLĄSKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 89% |