Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: ISKRA PSZCZYNA zostaje liderem po jesieni w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 36,9 pkt (od 32 do 40 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ISKRA PSZCZYNA | 36,9 ± 2,3 | 32–40 | 86% | 99% | 0% |
| 2 | ISKRA RYBARZOWICE | 32,3 ± 2,8 | 26–36 | 8% | 81% | 0% |
| 3 | FORTUNA WYRY | 31,5 ± 2,6 | 27–36 | 5% | 72% | 0% |
| 4 | ROTUZ BRONÓW | 29,0 ± 2,5 | 24–34 | 0% | 27% | 0% |
| 5 | KS BESTWINKA | 26,3 ± 3,0 | 20–32 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 6 | OGRODNIK TYCHY | 26,3 ± 2,6 | 21–30 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS WISŁA WIELKA | 25,5 ± 3,1 | 20–32 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 8 | JUWE TYCHY - JAROSZOWICE | 19,5 ± 2,5 | 15–24 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | GTS BOJSZOWY | 17,9 ± 2,8 | 13–23 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 10 | ZET TYCHY | 17,7 ± 3,0 | 13–23 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 11 | PODBESKIDZIE III BIELSKO-BIAŁA | 15,6 ± 2,7 | 11–20 | 0% | 0% | 19% |
| 12 | CZARNI JAWORZE | 14,7 ± 2,7 | 10–20 | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 13 | LKS BESTWINA | 14,1 ± 2,8 | 10–20 | 0% | 0% | 41% |
| 14 | PIAST GOL BIERUŃ | 14,2 ± 2,3 | 11–20 | 0% | 0% | 43% |
| 15 | LKS WILAMOWICZANKA | 13,8 ± 2,7 | 9–19 | 0% | 0% | 48% |
| 16 | LKS ŁĄKA | 7,1 ± 2,6 | 3–13 | 0% | 0% | 98% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISKRA PSZCZYNA | 86% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ISKRA RYBARZOWICE | 8% | 51% | 22% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| FORTUNA WYRY | 5% | 27% | 40% | 17% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ROTUZ BRONÓW | – | 7% | 20% | 35% | 21% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS BESTWINKA | – | – | 7% | 13% | 22% | 29% | 20% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| OGRODNIK TYCHY | – | – | – | 14% | 28% | 29% | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS WISŁA WIELKA | – | – | – | 9% | 15% | 22% | 39% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| JUWE TYCHY - JAROSZOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 37% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – |
| GTS BOJSZOWY | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – |
| ZET TYCHY | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | – | – |
| PODBESKIDZIE III BIELSKO-BIAŁA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 11% | 7% | – |
| CZARNI JAWORZE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 16% | – |
| LKS BESTWINA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 21% | – |
| PIAST GOL BIERUŃ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 21% | 22% | – |
| LKS WILAMOWICZANKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 24% | 6% |
| LKS ŁĄKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 90% |