Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: ISKRA PSZCZYNA zostaje mistrzem w 7 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 71,9 pkt (od 59 do 82 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze ISKRA RYBARZOWICE (13%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: LKS ŁĄKA (91%), LKS WILAMOWICZANKA (49%), PIAST GOL BIERUŃ (38%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ISKRA PSZCZYNA | 71,9 ± 5,9 | 59–82 | 74% | 97% | 0% |
| 2 | ISKRA RYBARZOWICE | 62,9 ± 7,1 | 47–75 | 13% | 73% | 0% |
| 3 | FORTUNA WYRY | 60,3 ± 7,1 | 46–73 | 8% | 58% | 0% |
| 4 | ROTUZ BRONÓW | 56,3 ± 6,9 | 42–69 | 3% | 33% | 0% |
| 5 | OGRODNIK TYCHY | 53,6 ± 7,0 | 39–66 | 1% | 18% | 0% |
| 6 | KS BESTWINKA | 51,5 ± 7,6 | 37–66 | 1% | 14% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS WISŁA WIELKA | 46,4 ± 7,8 | 32–62 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 8 | JUWE TYCHY - JAROSZOWICE | 39,3 ± 7,0 | 26–54 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 9 | GTS BOJSZOWY | 34,8 ± 6,8 | 22–48 | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| 10 | PODBESKIDZIE III BIELSKO-BIAŁA | 33,7 ± 7,3 | 20–49 | 0% | 0% | 19% |
| 11 | ZET TYCHY | 32,8 ± 7,0 | 20–47 | 0% | 0% | 24% |
| 12 | CZARNI JAWORZE | 31,9 ± 7,1 | 19–46 | 0% | 0% | 28% |
| 13 | LKS BESTWINA | 30,9 ± 7,2 | 18–45 | 0% | 0% | 32% |
| 14 | PIAST GOL BIERUŃ | 29,8 ± 6,8 | 18–44 | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| 15 | LKS WILAMOWICZANKA | 27,9 ± 7,0 | 16–43 | 0% | 0% | 49% |
| 16 | LKS ŁĄKA | 18,4 ± 6,2 | 7–32 | 0% | 0% | 91% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISKRA PSZCZYNA | 74% | 17% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ISKRA RYBARZOWICE | 13% | 36% | 24% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| FORTUNA WYRY | 8% | 24% | 25% | 20% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ROTUZ BRONÓW | – | 11% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| OGRODNIK TYCHY | – | 6% | 12% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS BESTWINKA | – | – | 9% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS WISŁA WIELKA | – | – | – | 8% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| JUWE TYCHY - JAROSZOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 20% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| GTS BOJSZOWY | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | – | – |
| PODBESKIDZIE III BIELSKO-BIAŁA | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 6% | – |
| ZET TYCHY | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | – |
| CZARNI JAWORZE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 11% | – |
| LKS BESTWINA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | – |
| PIAST GOL BIERUŃ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 18% | – |
| LKS WILAMOWICZANKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 11% |
| LKS ŁĄKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 15% | 68% |