Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: ŁYSICA Bodzentyn zostaje mistrzem w 3 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 62,2 pkt (od 49 do 74 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze TS 1946 NIDA Pińczów (29%), MKS PARTYZANT Radoszyce (19%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: SRKiS VICTORIA Mniów (99%), KS PARTYZANT Wodzisław (91%), ZENIT Chmielnik (90%), KAMIENNA Brody (35%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ŁYSICA Bodzentyn | 62,2 ± 6,5 | 49–74 | 34% | 77% | 0% |
| 2 | TS 1946 NIDA Pińczów | 61,0 ± 7,2 | 47–75 | 29% | 69% | 0% |
| 3 | MKS PARTYZANT Radoszyce | 58,9 ± 7,5 | 44–72 | 19% | 57% | 0% |
| 4 | GKS GÓRAL Górno | 53,6 ± 7,5 | 38–67 | 6% | 30% | 0% |
| 5 | MSS KLONÓWKA Masłów | 52,5 ± 7,5 | 37–66 | 4% | 24% | 0% |
| 6 | MKS UNIA Sędziszów | 51,9 ± 7,6 | 36–66 | 4% | 22% | 0% |
| 7 | LECHIA Strawczyn | 49,0 ± 7,4 | 35–63 | 2% | 11% | 0% |
| 8 | GKS 4 ECO ASTRA Piekoszów | 46,0 ± 7,5 | 32–61 | 1% | 7% | 2% |
| 9 | MKS STAR II Starachowice | 41,8 ± 7,4 | 27–56 | 0% | 2% | 6% |
| 10 | LZS Samborzec | 38,6 ± 7,7 | 23–54 | 0% | 1% | 14% |
| 11 | SKS WISŁA Sandomierz | 34,4 ± 7,2 | 21–49 | 0% | 0% | 29% |
| 12 | MKS OLIMPIA-POGOŃ Staszów | 33,8 ± 6,8 | 21–48 | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 13 | KAMIENNA Brody | 33,3 ± 7,4 | 20–48 | 0% | 0% | 35% |
| 14 | KS PARTYZANT Wodzisław | 22,0 ± 6,2 | 11–36 | 0% | 0% | 91% |
| 15 | ZENIT Chmielnik | 21,6 ± 6,8 | 10–36 | 0% | 0% | 90% |
| 16 | SRKiS VICTORIA Mniów | 13,2 ± 5,4 | 4–25 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ŁYSICA Bodzentyn | 34% | 24% | 18% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TS 1946 NIDA Pińczów | 29% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS PARTYZANT Radoszyce | 19% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS GÓRAL Górno | 6% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MSS KLONÓWKA Masłów | – | 8% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS UNIA Sędziszów | – | 8% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LECHIA Strawczyn | – | – | 5% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS 4 ECO ASTRA Piekoszów | – | – | – | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS STAR II Starachowice | – | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| LZS Samborzec | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 8% | – | – | – |
| SKS WISŁA Sandomierz | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 9% | – | – |
| MKS OLIMPIA-POGOŃ Staszów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 9% | – | – |
| KAMIENNA Brody | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 19% | 11% | – | – |
| KS PARTYZANT Wodzisław | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 13% | 32% | 35% | 10% |
| ZENIT Chmielnik | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 13% | 28% | 36% | 13% |
| SRKiS VICTORIA Mniów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 17% | 76% |