Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: VICTORIA Ostrzeszów zostaje mistrzem w 4 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 63,1 pkt (od 49 do 76 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze STAL Pleszew (30%), OGNIWO Łąkociny (12%), ODOLANOVIA Odolanów (11%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: HURAGAN Szczury (99%), OSTROVIA 1909 Ostrów Wlkp. II (81%), PELIKAN Grabów (36%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VICTORIA Ostrzeszów | 63,1 ± 6,9 | 49–76 | 36% | 75% | 0% |
| 2 | STAL Pleszew | 62,3 ± 6,2 | 49–74 | 30% | 76% | 0% |
| 3 | OGNIWO Łąkociny | 57,5 ± 7,1 | 44–71 | 12% | 48% | 0% |
| 4 | ODOLANOVIA Odolanów | 56,8 ± 7,5 | 42–71 | 11% | 44% | 0% |
| 5 | PŁOMIEŃ Opatów | 56,9 ± 7,3 | 42–71 | 10% | 44% | 0% |
| 6 | KP SŁUPIA | 45,5 ± 7,6 | 31–60 | 1% | 5% | 1% |
| 7 | LAS KUCZKÓW | 43,8 ± 7,6 | 29–59 | 1% | 4% | 2% |
| 8 | CZARNI Dobrzyca | 43,0 ± 6,9 | 30–56 | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| 9 | OKS 1926 Ostrów Wlkp. | 37,6 ± 7,3 | 25–52 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 10 | LZS Doruchów | 37,1 ± 7,3 | 24–52 | 0% | 1% | 12% |
| 11 | MASOVIA Kraszewice | 36,6 ± 7,1 | 23–51 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 12 | KS Rogaszyce | 35,2 ± 7,6 | 21–50 | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 13 | PIAST Czekanów | 32,1 ± 7,8 | 18–48 | 0% | 0% | 31% |
| 14 | PELIKAN Grabów | 30,9 ± 7,6 | 17–47 | 0% | 0% | 36% |
| 15 | OSTROVIA 1909 Ostrów Wlkp. II | 22,6 ± 6,5 | 11–36 | 0% | 0% | 81% |
| 16 | HURAGAN Szczury | 10,3 ± 5,1 | 2–21 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VICTORIA Ostrzeszów | 36% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| STAL Pleszew | 30% | 28% | 19% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| OGNIWO Łąkociny | 12% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ODOLANOVIA Odolanów | 11% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| PŁOMIEŃ Opatów | 10% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KP SŁUPIA | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LAS KUCZKÓW | – | – | – | – | 9% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – |
| CZARNI Dobrzyca | – | – | – | – | 8% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| OKS 1926 Ostrów Wlkp. | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 6% | – | – |
| LZS Doruchów | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | – | – |
| MASOVIA Kraszewice | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 8% | – | – |
| KS Rogaszyce | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | – | – |
| PIAST Czekanów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 12% | – |
| PELIKAN Grabów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 23% | 12% | – |
| OSTROVIA 1909 Ostrów Wlkp. II | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 19% | 54% | 8% |
| HURAGAN Szczury | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 90% |