Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: Pogoń II Szczecin zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 74,3 pkt (od 60 do 85 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: GKS Manowo (82%), Ina Elektrobim Ińsko (70%), Chemik Police (51%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń II Szczecin | 74,3 ± 6,3 | 60–85 | 90% | 98% | 0% |
| 2 | Świt II Szczecin | 56,8 ± 7,2 | 42–70 | 3% | 49% | 0% |
| 3 | Kotwica Kołobrzeg | 55,3 ± 7,0 | 42–68 | 1% | 40% | 0% |
| 4 | Arkonia Szczecin | 53,6 ± 7,3 | 39–68 | 2% | 31% | 0% |
| 5 | Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal | 52,4 ± 7,3 | 38–66 | 1% | 26% | 0% |
| 6 | Gwardia Koszalin | 51,2 ± 7,2 | 37–65 | 0% | 21% | 0% |
| 7 | Biali Sądów | 49,1 ± 7,5 | 35–64 | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 8 | Astra Ustronie Morskie | 46,9 ± 7,5 | 31–62 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 9 | Sparta Gryfice | 46,8 ± 7,6 | 32–62 | 1% | 9% | 0% |
| 10 | Dąb Dębno | 41,7 ± 7,1 | 28–56 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 11 | Iskierka Szczecin | 38,8 ± 7,8 | 24–54 | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| 12 | Orzeł Wałcz | 25,5 ± 6,8 | 13–40 | 0% | 0% | 43% |
| 13 | Chemik Police | 24,6 ± 6,4 | 13–38 | 0% | 0% | 51% |
| 14 | Pogoń Barlinek | 24,5 ± 6,6 | 13–38 | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 15 | Ina Elektrobim Ińsko | 21,3 ± 5,7 | 12–34 | 0% | 0% | 70% |
| 16 | GKS Manowo | 18,7 ± 6,3 | 8–32 | 0% | 0% | 82% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń II Szczecin | 90% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Świt II Szczecin | – | 27% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Kotwica Kołobrzeg | – | 21% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Arkonia Szczecin | – | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal | – | 11% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Gwardia Koszalin | – | 8% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Biali Sądów | – | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Astra Ustronie Morskie | – | – | 6% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sparta Gryfice | – | – | – | 7% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Dąb Dębno | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 21% | 21% | 7% | – | – | – | – |
| Iskierka Szczecin | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 27% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – |
| Orzeł Wałcz | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 9% |
| Chemik Police | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 11% |
| Pogoń Barlinek | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 13% |
| Ina Elektrobim Ińsko | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 22% |
| GKS Manowo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 14% | 23% | 44% |