Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: MEWA KUNICE zostaje liderem po jesieni w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 43,9 pkt (od 40 do 45 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MEWA KUNICE | 43,9 ± 1,6 | 40–45 | 99% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | ZAKACZAWIE LEGNICA | 37,5 ± 1,8 | 33–39 | 1% | 100% | 0% |
| 3 | LEGSAD KOŚCIELEC | 36,4 ± 2,4 | 31–39 | 1% | 96% | 0% |
| 4 | RODŁO GRANOWICE | 28,7 ± 2,2 | 25–34 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 5 | ORZEŁ ZAGRODNO | 28,2 ± 3,1 | 22–33 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 6 | BAZALT PIOTROWICE | 25,6 ± 3,0 | 20–31 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7 | JAWORZANKA 1946 II JAWOR | 24,4 ± 3,3 | 19–31 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 8 | CICHA WODA TYNIEC LEGNICKI | 22,6 ± 3,0 | 17–29 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | LZS LIPA | 17,8 ± 2,9 | 12–24 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 10 | RATAJ PASZOWICE | 17,2 ± 2,9 | 13–23 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | PARK TARGOSZYN | 16,8 ± 2,6 | 13–22 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | GÓRNIK II ZŁOTORYJA | 14,4 ± 2,3 | 10–19 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 13 | WILKI RÓŻANA | 13,1 ± 2,5 | 9–18 | 0% | 0% | 21% |
| 14 | KACZAWA BIENIOWICE | 9,2 ± 1,8 | 7–13 | 0% | 0% | 93% |
| 15 | HURAGAN PROBOSZCZÓW | 8,3 ± 3,1 | 3–15 | 0% | 0% | 82% |
| 16 | ZRYW STARY ŁOM | 4,4 ± 2,9 | 0–10 | 0% | 0% | 98% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEWA KUNICE | 99% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ZAKACZAWIE LEGNICA | – | 63% | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LEGSAD KOŚCIELEC | – | 36% | 60% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| RODŁO GRANOWICE | – | – | – | 33% | 35% | 23% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ORZEŁ ZAGRODNO | – | – | – | 40% | 26% | 17% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BAZALT PIOTROWICE | – | – | – | 11% | 21% | 28% | 21% | 14% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| JAWORZANKA 1946 II JAWOR | – | – | – | 11% | 13% | 17% | 32% | 18% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| CICHA WODA TYNIEC LEGNICKI | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 23% | 39% | 14% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LZS LIPA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 28% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – |
| RATAJ PASZOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 22% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 5% | – | – | – |
| PARK TARGOSZYN | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 17% | 25% | 24% | 18% | 8% | – | – | – |
| GÓRNIK II ZŁOTORYJA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 14% | 23% | 31% | 22% | – | – | – |
| WILKI RÓŻANA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 19% | 42% | 15% | 6% | – |
| KACZAWA BIENIOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 49% | 38% | 6% |
| HURAGAN PROBOSZCZÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 25% | 42% | 16% |
| ZRYW STARY ŁOM | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 14% | 77% |