Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: MEWA KUNICE zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 82,7 pkt (od 73 do 90 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze ZAKACZAWIE LEGNICA (11%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: ZRYW STARY ŁOM (86%), KACZAWA BIENIOWICE (61%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MEWA KUNICE | 82,7 ± 4,3 | 73–90 | 86% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | ZAKACZAWIE LEGNICA | 75,3 ± 4,8 | 65–84 | 11% | 98% | 0% |
| 3 | LEGSAD KOŚCIELEC | 71,1 ± 5,5 | 59–81 | 3% | 88% | 0% |
| 4 | ORZEŁ ZAGRODNO | 56,5 ± 6,7 | 43–69 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 5 | RODŁO GRANOWICE | 55,4 ± 6,4 | 43–68 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 6 | JAWORZANKA 1946 II JAWOR | 53,5 ± 6,9 | 40–67 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 7 | BAZALT PIOTROWICE | 53,4 ± 6,5 | 41–66 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 8 | CICHA WODA TYNIEC LEGNICKI | 42,3 ± 6,9 | 29–56 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | RATAJ PASZOWICE | 37,4 ± 7,0 | 24–52 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | LZS LIPA | 35,1 ± 6,8 | 22–48 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 11 | GÓRNIK II ZŁOTORYJA | 34,4 ± 6,1 | 23–47 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | PARK TARGOSZYN | 30,3 ± 6,2 | 19–43 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 13 | WILKI RÓŻANA | 23,5 ± 5,8 | 13–36 | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 14 | HURAGAN PROBOSZCZÓW | 18,5 ± 6,1 | 8–31 | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| 15 | KACZAWA BIENIOWICE | 15,9 ± 4,7 | 8–26 | 0% | 0% | 61% |
| 16 | ZRYW STARY ŁOM | 10,4 ± 5,3 | 1–22 | 0% | 0% | 86% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEWA KUNICE | 86% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ZAKACZAWIE LEGNICA | 11% | 63% | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LEGSAD KOŚCIELEC | – | 24% | 61% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ORZEŁ ZAGRODNO | – | – | – | 31% | 25% | 20% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| RODŁO GRANOWICE | – | – | – | 22% | 25% | 24% | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| JAWORZANKA 1946 II JAWOR | – | – | – | 19% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BAZALT PIOTROWICE | – | – | – | 16% | 23% | 24% | 22% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| CICHA WODA TYNIEC LEGNICKI | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 13% | 31% | 23% | 13% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| RATAJ PASZOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 15% | 10% | – | – | – | – |
| LZS LIPA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 7% | – | – | – |
| GÓRNIK II ZŁOTORYJA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 17% | 22% | 25% | 16% | 5% | – | – | – |
| PARK TARGOSZYN | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 13% | 22% | 27% | 17% | 6% | – | – |
| WILKI RÓŻANA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 17% | 35% | 22% | 10% | – |
| HURAGAN PROBOSZCZÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 18% | 31% | 26% | 12% |
| KACZAWA BIENIOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 26% | 41% | 20% |
| ZRYW STARY ŁOM | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 20% | 65% |