Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: BŁYSKAWICA LENARTOWICE zostaje mistrzem w 8 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 77,7 pkt (od 66 do 86 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: MUCHOBÓR WROCŁAW (100%), MECHANIK BRZEZINA (78%), LKS CIECHÓW (50%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BŁYSKAWICA LENARTOWICE | 77,7 ± 5,3 | 66–86 | 84% | 98% | 0% |
| 2 | POLONIA Bielany II Wrocławskie | 66,1 ± 7,0 | 52–79 | 7% | 70% | 0% |
| 3 | POLONIA II ŚRODA ŚLĄSKA | 63,9 ± 6,7 | 50–76 | 5% | 58% | 0% |
| 4 | ODRA LUBIĄŻ | 61,0 ± 6,9 | 47–74 | 2% | 40% | 0% |
| 5 | KP KĄTY WROCŁAWSKIE | 55,6 ± 6,8 | 42–68 | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 6 | ZORZA PĘGÓW | 55,1 ± 7,2 | 41–69 | 1% | 15% | 0% |
| 7 | TOMTEX WIDAWA WROCŁAW | 45,7 ± 7,6 | 31–60 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 8 | AKS Krzydlina Mała | 38,6 ± 7,4 | 25–53 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 9 | UKS GMINY MIĘKINIA | 36,7 ± 7,2 | 23–51 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 10 | POLONIA WROCŁAW | 33,3 ± 7,2 | 20–47 | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 11 | ZIELONI RAKOSZYCE | 33,2 ± 7,0 | 20–47 | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 12 | STS SOKÓŁ SMOLEC | 32,8 ± 7,0 | 20–47 | 0% | 0% | 16% |
| 13 | PIAST LUTYNIA | 31,4 ± 7,1 | 19–47 | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 14 | LKS CIECHÓW | 25,8 ± 6,1 | 15–39 | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 15 | MECHANIK BRZEZINA | 21,5 ± 5,7 | 12–34 | 0% | 0% | 78% |
| 16 | MUCHOBÓR WROCŁAW | 8,6 ± 3,5 | 4–17 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BŁYSKAWICA LENARTOWICE | 84% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| POLONIA Bielany II Wrocławskie | 7% | 38% | 25% | 16% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| POLONIA II ŚRODA ŚLĄSKA | 5% | 27% | 26% | 20% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ODRA LUBIĄŻ | – | 15% | 23% | 25% | 18% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KP KĄTY WROCŁAWSKIE | – | – | 11% | 18% | 27% | 24% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ZORZA PĘGÓW | – | – | 10% | 15% | 23% | 26% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TOMTEX WIDAWA WROCŁAW | – | – | – | – | 7% | 15% | 30% | 18% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| AKS Krzydlina Mała | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – |
| UKS GMINY MIĘKINIA | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | – | – |
| POLONIA WROCŁAW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 10% | – | – |
| ZIELONI RAKOSZYCE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 9% | – | – |
| STS SOKÓŁ SMOLEC | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | – | – |
| PIAST LUTYNIA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 7% | – |
| LKS CIECHÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 13% | 19% | 26% | 23% | – |
| MECHANIK BRZEZINA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 22% | 53% | – |
| MUCHOBÓR WROCŁAW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 96% |