Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: PIAST ŻMIGRÓD zostaje mistrzem w 6 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 77,4 pkt (od 65 do 88 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze CHROBRY II GŁOGÓW (24%), LECHIA DZIERŻONIÓW (18%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: PROCHOWICZANKA PROCHOWICE (99%), IGNERHOME MKS POLONIA ŚWIDNICA (97%), ISKRA KSIĘGINICE (82%), PIAST NOWA RUDA (77%), MKS ODRA ŚCINAWA (62%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIAST ŻMIGRÓD | 77,4 ± 5,8 | 65–88 | 56% | 97% | 0% |
| 2 | CHROBRY II GŁOGÓW | 72,6 ± 7,1 | 58–86 | 24% | 84% | 0% |
| 3 | LECHIA DZIERŻONIÓW | 72,1 ± 6,6 | 58–84 | 18% | 84% | 0% |
| 4 | GÓRNIK ZŁOTORYJA | 60,3 ± 7,6 | 46–75 | 1% | 16% | 0% |
| 5 | GKS MIRKÓW-DŁUGOŁĘKA | 54,8 ± 7,2 | 41–69 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 6 | BŁYSKAWICA GAĆ | 54,2 ± 7,4 | 39–68 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 7 | MGKS MOTO - JELCZ OŁAWA | 54,2 ± 7,1 | 40–68 | 0% | 4% | 1% |
| 8 | POLONIA BIELANY WROCŁAWSKIE | 48,8 ± 7,6 | 35–64 | 0% | 2% | 5% |
| 9 | CEMENT RACIBOROWICE | 48,1 ± 7,5 | 34–63 | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| 10 | ORZEŁ ZĄBKOWICE ŚLĄSKIE | 48,1 ± 7,4 | 34–62 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 11 | POLONIA ŚRODA ŚLĄSKA | 46,1 ± 7,3 | 32–60 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 12 | WKS WIERZBICE | 43,6 ± 7,0 | 30–57 | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| 13 | AKS BAZALT STRZEGOM | 38,7 ± 6,8 | 26–53 | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| 14 | MKS ODRA ŚCINAWA | 34,4 ± 6,8 | 22–49 | 0% | 0% | 62% |
| 15 | PIAST NOWA RUDA | 31,9 ± 6,5 | 20–46 | 0% | 0% | 77% |
| 16 | ISKRA KSIĘGINICE | 30,2 ± 6,4 | 19–43 | 0% | 0% | 82% |
| 17 | IGNERHOME MKS POLONIA ŚWIDNICA | 23,3 ± 6,7 | 11–37 | 0% | 0% | 97% |
| 18 | PROCHOWICZANKA PROCHOWICE | 18,3 ± 6,3 | 8–32 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 18 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIAST ŻMIGRÓD | 56% | 28% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| CHROBRY II GŁOGÓW | 24% | 32% | 27% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LECHIA DZIERŻONIÓW | 18% | 32% | 35% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GÓRNIK ZŁOTORYJA | – | – | 12% | 29% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS MIRKÓW-DŁUGOŁĘKA | – | – | – | 12% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BŁYSKAWICA GAĆ | – | – | – | 12% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MGKS MOTO - JELCZ OŁAWA | – | – | – | 11% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| POLONIA BIELANY WROCŁAWSKIE | – | – | – | – | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| CEMENT RACIBOROWICE | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| ORZEŁ ZĄBKOWICE ŚLĄSKIE | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| POLONIA ŚRODA ŚLĄSKA | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| WKS WIERZBICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| AKS BAZALT STRZEGOM | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 7% | – | – |
| MKS ODRA ŚCINAWA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | – |
| PIAST NOWA RUDA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 22% | 12% | – |
| ISKRA KSIĘGINICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 13% | 21% | 27% | 17% | – |
| IGNERHOME MKS POLONIA ŚWIDNICA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 17% | 37% | 28% |
| PROCHOWICZANKA PROCHOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 24% | 63% |