Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: BTS REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA II zostaje mistrzem w 6 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 71,9 pkt (od 59 do 83 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze KS PANATTONI GOCZAŁKOWICE-ZDRÓJ II (33%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: GKS PNIÓWEK 74 PAWŁOWICE (100%), UKS APN GÓRAL ISTEBNA (61%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BTS REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA II | 71,9 ± 6,1 | 59–83 | 63% | 97% | 0% |
| 2 | KS PANATTONI GOCZAŁKOWICE-ZDRÓJ II | 69,0 ± 5,7 | 57–79 | 33% | 95% | 0% |
| 3 | LKS CZANIEC | 58,3 ± 6,7 | 45–71 | 3% | 50% | 0% |
| 4 | LKS START MSZANA | 52,4 ± 6,8 | 39–65 | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 5 | LKS TEMPO PUŃCÓW | 50,3 ± 7,4 | 35–64 | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 6 | TS STAL-ŚRUBIARNIA ŻYWIEC | 50,4 ± 6,9 | 36–64 | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 7 | KP BESKID SKOCZÓW | 47,4 ± 6,8 | 34–61 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 8 | LKS TWORKÓW | 47,3 ± 7,2 | 34–62 | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 9 | LKS BŁYSKAWICA DROGOMYŚL | 45,1 ± 6,8 | 32–58 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 10 | LKS FORTECA ŚWIERKLANY | 37,8 ± 6,8 | 25–51 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 11 | GLKS NACOMI WILKOWICE | 33,9 ± 6,7 | 21–47 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 12 | LKS PASJONAT DANKOWICE | 33,2 ± 6,6 | 20–46 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 13 | MKS LĘDZINY | 31,8 ± 6,4 | 20–45 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 14 | BKS STAL BIELSKO - BIAŁA | 25,2 ± 6,2 | 15–38 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 15 | UKS APN GÓRAL ISTEBNA | 20,5 ± 5,9 | 10–33 | 0% | 0% | 61% |
| 16 | GKS PNIÓWEK 74 PAWŁOWICE | 3,5 ± 3,0 | 0–11 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTS REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA II | 63% | 28% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS PANATTONI GOCZAŁKOWICE-ZDRÓJ II | 33% | 51% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS CZANIEC | – | 12% | 35% | 21% | 12% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS START MSZANA | – | – | 13% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS TEMPO PUŃCÓW | – | – | 12% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TS STAL-ŚRUBIARNIA ŻYWIEC | – | – | 10% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 16% | 10% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KP BESKID SKOCZÓW | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS TWORKÓW | – | – | 6% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS BŁYSKAWICA DROGOMYŚL | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS FORTECA ŚWIERKLANY | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 14% | 9% | – | – | – |
| GLKS NACOMI WILKOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 16% | 10% | – | – |
| LKS PASJONAT DANKOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 11% | – | – |
| MKS LĘDZINY | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 10% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 14% | – | – |
| BKS STAL BIELSKO - BIAŁA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 18% | 38% | 25% | – |
| UKS APN GÓRAL ISTEBNA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 23% | 60% | – |
| GKS PNIÓWEK 74 PAWŁOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 100% |