Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: POMORZANIN 1964 NOWOGARD zostaje liderem po jesieni w 8 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 36,1 pkt (od 30 do 40 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | POMORZANIN 1964 NOWOGARD | 36,1 ± 2,9 | 30–40 | 83% | 98% | 0% |
| 2 | Ina Goleniów | 31,1 ± 2,7 | 25–36 | 7% | 74% | 0% |
| 3 | REGA Trzebiatów | 30,9 ± 3,0 | 25–36 | 7% | 70% | 0% |
| 4 | Polonia Płoty | 28,6 ± 3,0 | 22–34 | 3% | 44% | 0% |
| 5 | Gryf Kamień Pomorski | 24,0 ± 3,6 | 17–31 | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 6 | Masovia Maszewo | 23,9 ± 3,0 | 18–30 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 7 | AP KOTWICA Kołobrzeg | 22,8 ± 3,0 | 17–29 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 8 | Iskra Golczewo | 21,9 ± 3,0 | 16–27 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 9 | PRAWOBRZEŻE ŚWINOUJŚCIE | 19,3 ± 3,5 | 13–26 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 10 | FLOTA II ŚWINOUJŚCIE | 18,5 ± 3,2 | 13–25 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 11 | BIZON Cerkwica | 17,7 ± 3,6 | 11–25 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 12 | Olimp Gościno | 16,0 ± 3,1 | 10–22 | 0% | 0% | 24% |
| 13 | Jantar Dziwnów | 14,6 ± 3,2 | 9–21 | 0% | 0% | 40% |
| 14 | Pomorzanin Sławoborze | 12,9 ± 3,2 | 7–19 | 0% | 0% | 58% |
| 15 | ŚWIATOWID 63 ŁOBEZ | 13,1 ± 2,5 | 10–19 | 0% | 0% | 69% |
| 16 | KORONA Stuchowo | 11,5 ± 3,0 | 7–18 | 0% | 0% | 80% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POMORZANIN 1964 NOWOGARD | 83% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Ina Goleniów | 7% | 38% | 29% | 19% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| REGA Trzebiatów | 7% | 36% | 27% | 20% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Polonia Płoty | – | 12% | 29% | 29% | 14% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Gryf Kamień Pomorski | – | – | 6% | 11% | 23% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Masovia Maszewo | – | – | – | 7% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| AP KOTWICA Kołobrzeg | – | – | – | 7% | 15% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Iskra Golczewo | – | – | – | – | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – |
| PRAWOBRZEŻE ŚWINOUJŚCIE | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | – | – |
| FLOTA II ŚWINOUJŚCIE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 5% | – | – |
| BIZON Cerkwica | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 8% | – | – |
| Olimp Gościno | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | – |
| Jantar Dziwnów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 9% |
| Pomorzanin Sławoborze | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 20% |
| ŚWIATOWID 63 ŁOBEZ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 21% |
| KORONA Stuchowo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 12% | 24% | 44% |