Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: POMORZANIN 1964 NOWOGARD zostaje mistrzem w 8 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 71,5 pkt (od 58 do 82 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: KORONA Stuchowo (68%), ŚWIATOWID 63 ŁOBEZ (59%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | POMORZANIN 1964 NOWOGARD | 71,5 ± 6,4 | 58–82 | 81% | 98% | 0% |
| 2 | Ina Goleniów | 59,0 ± 7,2 | 44–73 | 8% | 64% | 0% |
| 3 | REGA Trzebiatów | 58,1 ± 7,3 | 43–71 | 6% | 59% | 0% |
| 4 | Polonia Płoty | 54,6 ± 7,4 | 40–68 | 3% | 39% | 0% |
| 5 | AP KOTWICA Kołobrzeg | 49,2 ± 7,4 | 34–63 | 1% | 16% | 0% |
| 6 | Gryf Kamień Pomorski | 46,4 ± 8,1 | 31–63 | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 7 | Iskra Golczewo | 44,6 ± 7,9 | 30–60 | 0% | 6% | 1% |
| 8 | Masovia Maszewo | 43,6 ± 7,5 | 30–59 | 0% | 4% | 1% |
| 9 | PRAWOBRZEŻE ŚWINOUJŚCIE | 38,9 ± 8,2 | 23–55 | 0% | 2% | 5% |
| 10 | BIZON Cerkwica | 38,0 ± 8,2 | 23–54 | 0% | 2% | 5% |
| 11 | FLOTA II ŚWINOUJŚCIE | 36,8 ± 7,7 | 23–52 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 12 | Olimp Gościno | 34,0 ± 7,5 | 20–49 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 13 | Pomorzanin Sławoborze | 31,1 ± 7,7 | 17–46 | 0% | 0% | 21% |
| 14 | Jantar Dziwnów | 31,0 ± 7,6 | 17–46 | 0% | 0% | 21% |
| 15 | ŚWIATOWID 63 ŁOBEZ | 24,4 ± 6,5 | 14–39 | 0% | 0% | 59% |
| 16 | KORONA Stuchowo | 22,3 ± 6,9 | 11–38 | 0% | 0% | 68% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POMORZANIN 1964 NOWOGARD | 81% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Ina Goleniów | 8% | 31% | 25% | 15% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| REGA Trzebiatów | 6% | 29% | 23% | 17% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Polonia Płoty | – | 15% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| AP KOTWICA Kołobrzeg | – | 5% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Gryf Kamień Pomorski | – | – | 6% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Iskra Golczewo | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Masovia Maszewo | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| PRAWOBRZEŻE ŚWINOUJŚCIE | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | – | – |
| BIZON Cerkwica | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 6% | – | – |
| FLOTA II ŚWINOUJŚCIE | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 7% | – | – |
| Olimp Gościno | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 8% | – |
| Pomorzanin Sławoborze | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 8% |
| Jantar Dziwnów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 9% |
| ŚWIATOWID 63 ŁOBEZ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 18% | 28% | 31% |
| KORONA Stuchowo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 14% | 24% | 44% |