Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: BRZEZINA OSIEK zostaje liderem po jesieni w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 42,4 pkt (od 37 do 45 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRZEZINA OSIEK | 42,4 ± 2,3 | 37–45 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | D&R Unia Oświęcim | 30,6 ± 2,8 | 25–36 | 0% | 78% | 0% |
| 3 | LKS Gorzów | 28,7 ± 2,9 | 23–34 | 0% | 45% | 0% |
| 4 | BABIA GÓRA SUCHA BESKIDZKA | 28,0 ± 2,6 | 23–33 | 0% | 37% | 0% |
| 5 | OLIMPIA CHOCZNIA | 26,7 ± 3,1 | 20–32 | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 6 | MKS HALNIAK MAKÓW PODHALAŃSKI | 25,8 ± 2,5 | 21–30 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS RAJSKO | 24,6 ± 2,5 | 20–29 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 8 | ŻURAW KRZESZÓW | 21,6 ± 2,5 | 17–26 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | SKAWA WADOWICE | 20,0 ± 3,1 | 14–27 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 10 | KALWARIANKA II KALWARIA ZEBRZ | 20,3 ± 3,0 | 15–27 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | NAROŻE JUSZCZYN | 19,6 ± 3,1 | 14–25 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | HALNIAK TARGANICE | 17,8 ± 3,1 | 12–24 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 13 | TĘCZA TENCZYNEK | 14,1 ± 2,3 | 11–19 | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 14 | LKS Poręba Wielka | 10,6 ± 3,1 | 5–17 | 0% | 0% | 74% |
| 15 | BYSTRA PODHALAŃSKA | 4,9 ± 2,0 | 3–10 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | HURAGAN INWAŁD | 3,2 ± 2,1 | 1–8 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRZEZINA OSIEK | 100% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| D&R Unia Oświęcim | – | 56% | 21% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Gorzów | – | 18% | 27% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BABIA GÓRA SUCHA BESKIDZKA | – | 13% | 24% | 24% | 17% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| OLIMPIA CHOCZNIA | – | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS HALNIAK MAKÓW PODHALAŃSKI | – | – | 8% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS RAJSKO | – | – | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 17% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ŻURAW KRZESZÓW | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 14% | 22% | 19% | 17% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – |
| SKAWA WADOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 13% | – | – | – | – |
| KALWARIANKA II KALWARIA ZEBRZ | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 20% | 15% | – | – | – | – |
| NAROŻE JUSZCZYN | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 22% | 14% | 8% | – | – | – |
| HALNIAK TARGANICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 12% | 19% | 33% | 14% | – | – | – |
| TĘCZA TENCZYNEK | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 15% | 57% | 20% | – | – |
| LKS Poręba Wielka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 16% | 68% | 5% | – |
| BYSTRA PODHALAŃSKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 73% | 22% |
| HURAGAN INWAŁD | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22% | 76% |