Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: BRZEZINA OSIEK zostaje mistrzem w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 80,1 pkt (od 69 do 88 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: HURAGAN INWAŁD (61%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnie miejsce) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRZEZINA OSIEK | 80,1 ± 5,3 | 69–88 | 97% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | D&R Unia Oświęcim | 61,4 ± 6,9 | 46–74 | 3% | 77% | 0% |
| 3 | BABIA GÓRA SUCHA BESKIDZKA | 52,9 ± 6,8 | 39–66 | 0% | 31% | 0% |
| 4 | OLIMPIA CHOCZNIA | 51,9 ± 7,6 | 37–66 | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 5 | LKS Gorzów | 51,4 ± 7,5 | 37–66 | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 6 | MKS HALNIAK MAKÓW PODHALAŃSKI | 47,9 ± 6,8 | 34–61 | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS RAJSKO | 47,7 ± 6,9 | 35–61 | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 8 | ŻURAW KRZESZÓW | 46,7 ± 7,0 | 33–60 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 9 | SKAWA WADOWICE | 42,1 ± 7,3 | 28–57 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 10 | NAROŻE JUSZCZYN | 40,7 ± 7,7 | 26–56 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 11 | KALWARIANKA II KALWARIA ZEBRZ | 39,7 ± 7,4 | 26–55 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 12 | HALNIAK TARGANICE | 35,2 ± 7,2 | 22–50 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 13 | TĘCZA TENCZYNEK | 29,1 ± 6,6 | 17–43 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 14 | LKS Poręba Wielka | 27,7 ± 7,4 | 14–42 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 15 | BYSTRA PODHALAŃSKA | 13,2 ± 5,2 | 5–25 | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| 16 | HURAGAN INWAŁD | 11,0 ± 5,0 | 2–22 | 0% | 0% | 61% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRZEZINA OSIEK | 97% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| D&R Unia Oświęcim | – | 54% | 20% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BABIA GÓRA SUCHA BESKIDZKA | – | 11% | 20% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| OLIMPIA CHOCZNIA | – | 12% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Gorzów | – | 9% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS HALNIAK MAKÓW PODHALAŃSKI | – | – | 8% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS RAJSKO | – | – | 8% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – |
| ŻURAW KRZESZÓW | – | – | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| SKAWA WADOWICE | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – |
| NAROŻE JUSZCZYN | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – |
| KALWARIANKA II KALWARIA ZEBRZ | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 10% | – | – | – |
| HALNIAK TARGANICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 19% | 10% | – | – |
| TĘCZA TENCZYNEK | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 18% | 28% | 32% | – | – |
| LKS Poręba Wielka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 14% | 24% | 39% | 6% | – |
| BYSTRA PODHALAŃSKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 55% | 38% |
| HURAGAN INWAŁD | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | 61% |