Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: RKS Mazur Radzymin zostaje mistrzem w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 81,6 pkt (od 73 do 87 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: KS MADZIAR NIEPORĘT (92%), SS HUTNIK II W-WA SP. Z O.O. (91%), KS Wesoła (79%), ŚLIMAK HALINÓW (57%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RKS Mazur Radzymin | 81,6 ± 3,7 | 73–87 | 98% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Advit Wiązowna | 65,0 ± 6,3 | 52–77 | 1% | 80% | 0% |
| 3 | EsKadra Warszawa | 64,7 ± 6,5 | 52–77 | 1% | 78% | 0% |
| 4 | KS Delta Warszawa | 54,0 ± 7,1 | 40–67 | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 5 | UKS ORŁY ZIELONKA | 52,3 ± 7,5 | 37–67 | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 6 | MKS Ząbkovia II Ząbki | 51,6 ± 6,9 | 38–65 | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 7 | UKS Talent II Warszawa | 49,0 ± 7,0 | 35–62 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 8 | MLKS Victoria II Sulejówek | 44,4 ± 7,0 | 31–58 | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| 9 | KS Legionovia II Legionowo | 37,3 ± 7,1 | 24–51 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 10 | KS Grom Warszawa | 37,0 ± 7,5 | 23–52 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 11 | Świt II Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki | 31,8 ± 6,9 | 19–45 | 0% | 0% | 28% |
| 12 | AP Agape Białołęka | 30,7 ± 6,5 | 18–44 | 0% | 0% | 32% |
| 13 | ŚLIMAK HALINÓW | 26,9 ± 6,5 | 15–40 | 0% | 0% | 57% |
| 14 | KS Wesoła | 23,0 ± 6,1 | 12–36 | 0% | 0% | 79% |
| 15 | SS HUTNIK II W-WA SP. Z O.O. | 19,3 ± 6,0 | 9–32 | 0% | 0% | 91% |
| 16 | KS MADZIAR NIEPORĘT | 19,1 ± 6,0 | 8–31 | 0% | 0% | 92% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKS Mazur Radzymin | 98% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Advit Wiązowna | – | 47% | 32% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| EsKadra Warszawa | – | 41% | 36% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Delta Warszawa | – | – | 12% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| UKS ORŁY ZIELONKA | – | – | 9% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS Ząbkovia II Ząbki | – | – | 7% | 17% | 19% | 22% | 15% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| UKS Talent II Warszawa | – | – | – | 12% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MLKS Victoria II Sulejówek | – | – | – | – | 8% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 16% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Legionovia II Legionowo | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 10% | – | – | – | – |
| KS Grom Warszawa | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – |
| Świt II Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | – | – |
| AP Agape Białołęka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 13% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 9% | – | – |
| ŚLIMAK HALINÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 12% | 6% |
| KS Wesoła | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 17% | 24% | 21% | 17% |
| SS HUTNIK II W-WA SP. Z O.O. | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 10% | 17% | 30% | 34% |
| KS MADZIAR NIEPORĘT | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 17% | 25% | 39% |