Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: LKS Omega Kleszczów zostaje mistrzem w 8 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 80,2 pkt (od 70 do 88 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: ESPN Bełchatów (98%), LKS Wolanka Wola Krzysztoporska (97%), LKS Piast Gmina Lgota Wielka (93%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Omega Kleszczów | 80,2 ± 4,7 | 70–88 | 84% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | MUKS Stal Niewiadów | 70,7 ± 5,2 | 60–80 | 8% | 95% | 0% |
| 3 | ZKS Włókniarz Zelów | 69,0 ± 5,8 | 57–80 | 8% | 90% | 0% |
| 4 | LKS Polonia Gorzędów | 54,7 ± 7,0 | 41–68 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 5 | PGE GiEK GKS II Bełchatów | 52,5 ± 6,9 | 38–65 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 6 | MGKS Drzewica | 48,6 ± 7,0 | 34–62 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 7 | MGKS Skalnik Sulejów | 47,2 ± 7,1 | 33–61 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 8 | TS Szczerbiec Wolbórz | 44,7 ± 6,3 | 33–57 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | LZS Świt Kamieńsk | 44,4 ± 6,5 | 32–58 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | KS Lechia 1923 II Tomaszów Maz. | 42,3 ± 6,9 | 29–56 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | GUKS Gorzkowice | 32,0 ± 7,0 | 19–47 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 12 | KS Ceramika II Opoczno | 31,8 ± 6,6 | 19–45 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 13 | GLKS Włókniarz Moszczenica | 31,8 ± 6,2 | 21–45 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 14 | LKS Piast Gmina Lgota Wielka | 15,5 ± 5,2 | 7–27 | 0% | 0% | 93% |
| 15 | LKS Wolanka Wola Krzysztoporska | 13,2 ± 5,3 | 4–24 | 0% | 0% | 97% |
| 16 | ESPN Bełchatów | 11,2 ± 5,3 | 2–23 | 0% | 0% | 98% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS Omega Kleszczów | 84% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MUKS Stal Niewiadów | 8% | 51% | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ZKS Włókniarz Zelów | 8% | 34% | 48% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Polonia Gorzędów | – | – | 7% | 33% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| PGE GiEK GKS II Bełchatów | – | – | – | 26% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MGKS Drzewica | – | – | – | 11% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MGKS Skalnik Sulejów | – | – | – | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TS Szczerbiec Wolbórz | – | – | – | – | 8% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 14% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LZS Świt Kamieńsk | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Lechia 1923 II Tomaszów Maz. | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 13% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| GUKS Gorzkowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 10% | 20% | 27% | 27% | – | – | – |
| KS Ceramika II Opoczno | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 21% | 27% | 28% | – | – | – |
| GLKS Włókniarz Moszczenica | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 21% | 27% | 29% | – | – | – |
| LKS Piast Gmina Lgota Wielka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 40% | 34% | 18% |
| LKS Wolanka Wola Krzysztoporska | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 30% | 35% | 32% |
| ESPN Bełchatów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18% | 30% | 50% |